王垣鑫:均线拉回历史可会重演?
国际现货黄金于1357美元/盎司一线开启下跌以来已经过了三周左右的时间,其幅度更是从1357美元/盎司到最低1268美元/盎司跌了近90美元,从盘面上看本波下跌走势看似非常顺利周线连续收三条阴线空头天下无敌,但要记住无论是上涨或者是下跌,基本没有一波到位的情况,当中或多或少都会出现适当的调整。
大家应该还记得当金价上涨到1337美元/盎司上方的当周,我就跟大家不停强调,既然金价已经涨到这里了,那么本周我们的思路就只能定在有高点就做空有高点就做空,为什么?原因有两个,其一日线级别当时虽受ma5支撑一直上行支撑非常足,但也正因为这样kdj指标三线长时间维持在高位不能有效回调,这就像一根紧绷的弦一样随时一断就崩盘了;其二周线均线离价格过远,我们可以发现当周均线位于1310美元/盎司附近,但是价格是跳空高开高走,一旦金价涨过1337美元/盎司前高后,就距离均线差不多30美元。
其实从过去的行情当中我们不难发现一样东西,就是在周线的盘面当中一旦经过上一周的大涨或者大跌之后,本周跳空开盘要不就直接开启调整,要不就再延续一波趋势再调整,几乎就从来没有看到过远离均线开线后还能顺趋势去收出一条大阳线或者是大阴线的,因此无论当时做空是怎么样的逆势都好我都认为那是正确的思路,周线收线就看他是收成十字星或者是长上影的形态,做空点位就参考周线前高1338、1346、1352、1357,结果给出的四个点位当中一个失效,三个出现回调其中一个还是最高点,印证了当周所说的话所定下来的思路是无比的正确。
来到本周一样是如此,周线均线位于1305,现价1276美元/盎司离均线30美元的距离,这还是已经出现了小反弹的距离,所以本周的思路跟1357当周的思路是一致的,出低点就做多先以短单的目标止损去设置,一旦盈利空间达到了10美元可以减仓后尝试继续持有设置保本损,一周或者两周的时间看回周线ma5。
至于做空方面:
日内1281-1282可尝试短空,目标1277、1274,止损1285.
周内1289亦可以尝试做空,目标1285、1281,止损1291.
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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