王垣鑫：现货黄金行情回顾1
回顾6.5-6.9现货黄金行情，金价先是通过前周非农利好影响直接强势拉升，经过周末的时间周一开盘金价丝毫没有往回调整的意思，而是经过一天的高位震荡走势之后再度破位上行，一度上探1295美元/盎司一线位置后保持高位震荡，于周三晚间跌破支撑后，在短短3天时间里面把本波涨幅尽数收回，回落幅度从1295美元/盎司到1265美元/盎司达30美元。
此次下跌开启前其实从各级别图形里面已经可以看出端倪，下面就让我们来逐个分析一下。
现货黄金1小时图，金价在非农过后再度冲高，本身从图形上看并没有多大问题，但MACD指标并未跟上金价节奏走出破高形态，即从金价上破震荡开始已经是有顶背离迹象的了，后期高位盘整的过程显得尤为关键，若能在高位盘整等待MACD指标双线走上高点则能化解背离，但结果在MACD双线即将破高的时候，现货黄金价格出现高点降低的情况，随后MACD双线死叉正式宣布出现顶背离，随之金价跌破支撑，扫了一波空单之后不能站稳，拉大阴下破，宣布开始回调走势。
现货黄金4小时图，在这个级别里面金价属于典型的同步发出做空信号：
KDJ自金价冲高后持续超买发出调整需求，等待死叉信号；
MACD双线高位出现死叉信号；
金价在非农冲高后以ma10为支撑再起涨势，则ma10为本波4h上涨重要支撑，后市跌破视为回调开启信号；
这3个信号几乎是同时出现在盘面上的，在这种情况底下，看空金价是势在必行的。
现货黄金日线图，在此级别里看回调相对简单，主要是kdj指标三线持续超买发出调整需求，纵使MACD指标双线依然在向上运行，但金价已经回到前高压力位，kdj的超买本已为破高增加难度，加之小级别死叉，超买，背离情况严重，因此可判金价一举破高难度较大，可炒顶。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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