非農好于預期,美元強勢反彈
關鍵字:美元強勢反彈
8 月7日,現貨黃金出現大幅度走低,由於美國就業資料好於市場預期,表明美國經濟回暖取得明顯效果,同時市場對於現貨黃金的拋售、美元指數的強勢反彈抑制黃金的避險功能。
LBMA金價在午後拍賣中定在低大約14美元的水準,也導致金價疲軟。交易員在下午的交易中將LMBA黃金價格定在每盎司2031.15美元。賣單比買單高出大約9萬盎司。
週五的資料顯示,美國7月份非農就業增加176萬,高於預期的148萬;失業率降幅也大於預期。分析師道,強於預期的就業報告發佈之後,美元和利率午後小有回升,貴金屬漲勢暫緩。
分析師表示,美元指數DXY從週四觸及的兩年低位強勁反彈,現貨黃金則大幅下挫,但要記住,市場中迅速且大幅度的攀升往往會導致更大幅度的向下修正。但實際上,這對價格上漲趨勢的延續是有益的。在交易中呈“抛物線”走勢的市場往往會在最後階段看到上升趨勢,然後形成頂部。
美國非農就業資料好於預期,表明就業市場復蘇,黃金價格下跌。雖然分析師正努力消化資料的影響,但此後傳出美國制裁措施的相關報導,推動美元走高,使黃金價格再度承壓。目前現貨黃金強勁阻力位處於2062美元/盎司,若現貨黃金再度下行,則下看2020美元/盎司。雖然基本面因素在近期可能繼續對貴金屬帶來支撐,但從短期技術面來看,貴金屬價格或將進一步下跌。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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