市场风险情绪改善，黄金出现巨大跌幅
关键词：市场风险情绪改善
6月3日，现货黄金出现巨大跌幅，回落逾40美元，由于市场风险情绪改善，加上欧美股市的连续上涨，给了市场充足的信心，加上经济数据显示美国的就业数据低于市场预期，市场对黄金需求疲软。
周三，一项衡量全球股市的指标上涨，欧元兑美元上涨，因放松封锁和将出台更多货币刺激措施的希望提振了投资者信心。美国5月民间就业岗位降幅小于预期，暗示随着企业复工复产，裁员情况正在缓和；美国供应管理协会(ISM)公布的数据显示，服务业采购经理人指数(PMI)在5月脱离11年低点，这也提振了市场人气。
分析师表示，周三黄金价格就像纸牌屋一样崩溃，投资者忽视了美国各地爆发的动乱，而将重心集中在围绕央行干预和经济复苏的希望上；由于市场情绪的改善，黄金期货价格短期内可能进一步走软，首先可能回撤到1680美元水平。若跌破这一支撑位，金价可能会继续下跌至4月中旬以来的最高水平1665美元。
美股周三尾盘维持涨势，道指涨超500点，站上26200点；纳斯达克100指数上涨0.6％，超越历史最高收盘水平；截止目前，标普500指数已从近期低点反弹逾40%，纳指距其2月19日创造的历史最高纪录9838.37点差距不到2%。分析认为，市场对于经济活动重启的乐观预期继续支撑风险偏好，股市短期继续看涨，这令避险黄金失去了吸引力，
黄金市场的下一波涨势即将到来。Streible指出，股市的动能阻碍了黄金上行，但市场对股市的热衷是有问题的。美联储在支撑着美股以及其它资产。这让投资者们担心自己错过这波行情。但现实而言，美股这些企业的营收会继续下降，最终估值会回到比较安全的水平，也就会影响美股的表现。
为应对疫情，美联储降息并且开启无限QE，而近期市场对美国进入负利率状态的预期在增加。美联储不太可能采用负利率，但市场或许会一直有这样的预期，眼下这个环境对黄金是非常利好的，其将进入长期牛市。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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