美國資料“蒼白無力”，黃金突破新高位
關鍵字：黃金突破新高位
5月15日，現貨黃金一度出現巨大上漲，由於美國經濟資料顯得十分疲弱，表明疫情對美國商業活動造成巨大損害，同時市場對貿易的緊張局勢也提振了貴金屬的避險需求，讓黃金突破近年來的新高位。
美國最新零售銷售資料顯示，4月零售銷售連續第二個月創紀錄下降，這體現了疫情給經濟造成的打擊。更讓黯淡的經濟前景雪上加霜的是，美國總統特朗普近期頻繁發表不和諧的貿易言論。
紐約商品交易所6月交割的黃金期貨價格上漲15.40美元，漲幅為0.9%，收於每盎司1756.30美元，為4月14日以來的最高收盤價格。7月交割的白銀期貨價格上漲91.4美分，漲幅為5.7%，收於每盎司17.07美元。這是3月初以來白銀期貨首次突破17美元心理關口。根據FactSet的資料，按照最活躍合約計算，本周，黃金期貨累計上漲2.5%，而白銀漲幅高達8.2%。
推動週五金價上漲的原因不單單是某個經濟資料、或者是某個因素，而是每一個資料和因素，並且市場參與者又不想在週末賣空或持平黃金。我認為黃金即將上漲至1800美元，但過程將是震盪不定的。
儘管疲軟的實貨需求和央行買盤可能減緩了金價的攀升，但在出臺空前規模刺激舉措、全球經濟超級大國之間關係惡化的情況下，幾乎沒有理由拋售黃金。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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