股市反弹无需担忧，黄金将受到长期支撑
关键词：黄金受到长期支撑
市场预测，随着投资者寻求投资避风港，黄金价格将突破至新的高位，甚至部分分析师认为，黄金将在2020年或者2021年创下历史新高，而黄金的价格走势很大程度上受到美国疫情的影响以及经济受损害的程度。
黄金是疫情期间表现最好的资产之一。随着美联储重拾无限量宽松的措施以及美国经济下行的压力加大，推动黄金持续走高。
上周公布的一季度GDP数据显示，美国历史上持续时间最长的经济扩张在第一季戛然而止，国内生产总值创2007-2009年大衰退以来最严重萎缩。尽管美国部分地区已经开始重启，但经济学家表示，至少需要两年时间才能将经济恢复到疫情前水平。他们预计将出现一波破产潮和长期的高失业率。
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数据显示，基金经理的黄金净多头头寸从前一周的146271手微升至146406手期货合约。这是因为空头回补略高于长期清算。其中总空头减少了1602手，而总多头减少了1467手。
公共债务的大量增加以及各国央行采取了前所未有的措施来应对疫情带来的经济影响，应该会使黄金受益。而且全球交易所交易基金（ETF）持有的黄金最近一直在增加，上个月增加了近160公吨。
尽管自美联储于3月23日推出“无限量”宽松政策以来，道琼斯指数的涨幅已超过黄金价格。自3月23日以来，道琼斯指数上涨了约27.6％。相比之下，黄金自触及年内低点1473美元以来仅上涨了16.5％。
分析人士指出，如果美国的疫情蔓延持续或者美国的经济进一步遭受打击，那么市场将毫不犹豫的涌入黄金。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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