黃金日內出現巨大下滑,美元出現巨大飆升
關鍵字:黃金日內出現巨大下滑
4月16日,現貨黃金從高位回落,出現巨大跌幅,由於美國初請失業金人數資料公佈後,資料低於上一周,市場認為美國對疫情的限制措施的希望升溫,削弱了黃金的避險需求,金價出現大幅下滑。
美元指數突破100關口,觸及一周高位,扼殺了黃金的反彈。美國資料顯示,上周有520萬美國人初請失業金,低於前一周修正後的660萬,但過去一個月初請失業金總人數突破2000萬。美國總統特朗普計畫宣佈新的指導方針,以便在長達一個月的封鎖後重新開啟經濟,儘管衛生專家、各州州長和商界領袖擔心,如果沒有更多的檢測和相關安排,疫情會捲土重來。
市場談論政府將如何重啟經濟,金市似乎正關注疫情高峰期已過去。因此,從未來會更加光明的角度來看,我們看到金價有所回檔,但金市的主要題材仍然是,在全球各國央行和政府推出空前規模的貨幣和財政刺激措施的環境下,黃金受到相當好的支撐。
市場已經耗盡了其短線樂觀的“燃料”,在美元上漲之際,驅動了股票和基本金屬的去風險模式, 這也削弱了早些時候對黃金的熱情。
作為全球第二大黃金購買國,印度的黃金實物消費量可能在2020年跌至30年來的低點,原因是該國在重要節日和婚禮季期間實施了全國範圍的限制措施,導致多家珠寶店關閉。印度黃金行業人士表示,從未見過印度黃金需求受到這樣大的影響,封城後銷量降到零。
據估計,今年印度黃金需求同比將下跌50%,將降至350至400噸,將是1991年以來最低水準。此前2019年印度的黃金需求為690.4噸。印度政府將封城的措施延續到至少5月3日,另一方面,婚禮是印度黃金需求的一大來源,同樣受到疫情影響,婚禮被大舉推遲,也影響了黃金的需求。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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