貿易對峙蠶食經濟，歐洲無法充當看客
關鍵字：貿易對峙
8月12日，現貨黃金行情繼續圍繞者千五關口展開持續的震盪，同時貿易形勢的不確定性也進一步強化了全球經濟增長放緩的擔憂。上周出爐的經濟數據也驗證了市場的預期，英國經濟出現首次萎縮，德國工業聲場遭遇最大年度跌幅。
包括新加坡和日本在內的許多亞洲市場週一逢假期休市。貿易紛爭升級，引發了金價的強勁反彈，本月迄今已上漲近6%。
分析師說：“金價上漲所面臨的一個風險是貿易前景，美方現在態度立場打消了貿易爭端將很快得到解決的可能性。”
分析師說：“如果貿易摩擦持續，金價前景仍將正面；我們的確看到金價在1500美元上方附近持穩。短期內，金價繼續上漲的可能性很大。”
全球經濟衰退風險正在上升，並且在2020年美國總統大選前不再預期貿易形勢好轉，強化了由此帶來的破壞性影響力。
上周出爐的經濟數據似乎也佐證了相關預期，英國經濟在二季度出現2012年以來首次萎縮，而德國工業生產遭遇9年來最大年度跌幅。
美國商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC)週五表示，對沖基金與基金公司在8月6日止當周增持紐約商品期貨交易所(COMEX)期金多倉，並削減白銀淨多倉。
目前市場對避險資產的熱度仍維持在一個比較高的地位，除非有新的因素對避險資產產生比較明顯的作用，否則黃金這種避險資產將受到持續的關注。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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