跌跌不休的原油,将会掀起怎样的风暴?
周一开盘,国际原油市场已经出现下跌,WTI原油更是跌至15美元关口,虽然其他原油品种表现较为稳定,但整体仍处于下滑的趋势,原油市场从一开始的暴跌到有所反弹再到现在的持续下滑,到底是什么原因造成的呢?对于全球市场又会掀起怎样的风暴呢?
一直下滑的原油市场为哪般?
原油市场一开始的暴跌在于严重失衡的供需关系,加上OPEC+的减产计划并不能带来较为明显的效果,加上目前疫情在全球的蔓延情况,很多人都是在家隔离不出门,汽车方面的使用频率明显减少,因此对于原油的需求明显减少,加上原油之前生产的数量实在太多,供过于求,就导致了这次的持续下滑的现象。
本次最大输家是谁?
在经济全球化的背景下,牵一发而动全身,原油市场的下滑,对于全球经济都有影响,但这次最大输家可能是美国的页岩油市场。相比于OPEC+成员国的原油生产成本,美国页岩油的开采成本更高,基本就处于卖多少就是亏多少的情况。此外,特朗普公布允许美国经济重新开放的指引。 特朗普表示,美国已经渡过了新冠肺炎疫情的高峰期,健康的美国人在条件允许的情况下重返工作岗位。联邦政府的指引允许经济分三个阶段重新开放。
那这次美国重启经济,是否对原油市场有一定的刺激作用呢?这个不好说,因为市场的波动重点就在于市场的信心,还是要等更多信息的放出才能知道。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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