2.2万亿美元的刺激,带来的效果会怎样?
3月27日,美国总统特朗普签署了2万亿美元的经济刺激法案,这是历史上规模最大的经济刺激法案,那这个经济刺激法案带来的效果是怎样的呢?对于投资者来说,这是不是一个进场交易的信号呢?
流动性危机暂时得到缓解
这2万亿美元的经济刺激法案将用于加强失业保障、企业贷款补助以及向医院、州政府、市政府提供更多的医疗资源以应对当前爆发的疫情。在经济刺激法案出炉前,市场恐慌情绪一直处于高位,美股也持续下跌,但在特朗普签署经济刺激法案后,美股则出现了明显反弹,市场资金的流动性得到了较为明显的缓解,同时各国央行也都纷纷出台经济刺激政策,那这对全球经济来说是好事吗?
通胀情况将会明显增加
但更多的投资者则认为此举可以解一时的燃眉之急,但无法根本性解决问题,由于疫情对美国经济带来的重创,2万亿美元刺激法案实际上可能会增加失业率。今年1月政府支付给失业者的支票为平均每周385美元。而这项法案将会为每张支票增加了600美元,并持续到7月。对于许多人来说,失业救济金甚至超过其正常的工作收入,这可能会导致他们失去工作积极性。同时也会增加通胀情况,现金的购买力将会明显降低,风险资产的吸引力也会不断下跌,反之避险资产,如现货黄金就持续受到投资者的关注,也会有更多的盈利机会。
总而言之,当前2万亿美元的经济刺激法案在短时内可以缓解市场的紧张情绪,但在长期看来,没有有力措施来控制疫情的蔓延,全球经济将会无可避免地陷入衰退情况,此时现货黄金这类避险产品有着极大的吸引力。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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