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为什么在这次全球肺炎疫情中,现货黄金会大起大落?

为什么在这次全球肺炎疫情中,现货黄金会大起大落?在这个3月,现货黄金的价格就像坐过山车一样,随著全球肺炎疫情的蔓延,美国股市多次熔断后,现货黄金价格也突破1700美元/盎司的新高。而随后随著美联储两次降低联邦基准利率后,金价就快速落到1480美元附近。前两天美联储又发布了无限量QE决策后,金价又从跌势反弹到1570美元/盎司附近。那么为什么在这次全球肺炎疫情中,现货黄金会大起大落?

1、资金流通量的影响

其实经过美国和多个国家的股市多次熔断后,不少投资者已经对股市不抱信心,反而会抱著“现金为王”的心态,将资金投入到美元中。而市场上资金流通量减少时,自然会促使投资者对现货黄金、白银进行大量抛售套取现金,金价也就承压下跌了。不过,当美联储发布无限量QE决策后,就会促使投资者慢慢把资金转回到市场上,市场上流通的资金量充足了,黄金作为一种理想的避险产品,价格自然就会慢慢回升。

2、市场避险情绪的影响

其实金价在3月初的第一波上涨,是受到了全球肺炎疫情和美联储降息的双重的影响下,市场避险情绪升温的结果,当消息对市场的影响逐渐减少后,金价的快速回落也是预期可见的。而当美联储发出无限量QE的“大招”后,一旦市场上资金流动量多了起来,之前产生的市场资金缺口投资者就会通过转投黄金补上,这自然也会促成金价反弹上涨。所以很多时候,金价的大起大落,往往都离不开市场的避险情绪主导。

总的来说,为什么在这次全球肺炎疫情中,现货黄金会大起大落?主要还是因为现货黄金价格容易受美联储的货币决策、市场避险情绪影响而产生剧烈波动。虽然目前金价已经回升到1570美元/盎司附近,但由于美元还是同样强势,所以大家这段时间最好先静心观望,等待新一轮强势行情出现再出手进场更能稳妥盈利。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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