黄金价格或难以复制2013年巅峰
关键字：现货黄金价格
当前黄金价格仍在1300-1315美元区间内震荡，部分可能是受9月黄金期权未平仓合约即将到期的牵制。另外，目前技术指标尚未发出明显的走势信号，而其它市场，如美元以及原油近期的表现也限制了国际金价的上行空间。
首先，当前布伦特原油依旧承压在104美元/桶下方，为2013年11月来最低水平。尽管黄金与原油相关性不是那么强，但基本呈同向运行，这就意味着油价走低也将拖累国际黄金价格下滑。
从短期来看，地缘政治紧张局势是可能会使得原油和黄金同时受益。从更长期来看，油价上涨意味着通胀走高，利好国际黄金价格。
然而，近期的情况有些特殊，尽管多地地缘政治风险持续升温，但受欧洲经济复苏停滞的影响，油价逆势下行，限制了国际黄金价格涨幅。
而另一方面，近期美元持续走强也是导致黄金价格表现平平的重要因素之一。
今年二季度全球黄金需求同比大幅下跌16%，其中中国及印度两国下跌幅度最大。该行预计2014年中国黄金需求可能难以复制2013年巅峰，并接近2012年的同等水平。
目前现货金的主要支撑区在1284-1300美元，但建议在现货黄金跌破1284美元后再做空，因为在此之前做空的风险回报率相对偏低。
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.