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黄金情绪指数震荡走高

关键词:黄金市场情绪

赫伯特黄金投资通讯的情绪指数表明,近期的黄金市场,看多较看空更多,但若市场情绪一旦转换,那么将把金价拉低而非推高。

目前情绪值为23.3%,在6月初金价处于1250美元/盎司左右的低水平时,该指数曾经位于负30%。也就是说在差不多一个月的时间中,该指数增加了53.3的百分比。

一些逆向投资者称,市场的底部更可能有顽固的空头,而这和目前所见到的情景正好相反,也就是说,从最终低点开始,到最初的上涨,所面对的反而是怀疑。只有在新的牛市中,市场才会纷纷加入到看多阵营中。

过去12个月的情绪值的表现表明,市场正在越来越远离消极。

而CFTC数据显示,截止上周为止,Comex的贵金属净多头头寸连续第三周增加,不过多头头寸增加的速度不及之前,尤其是黄金。不过,大投机资金在解除空头头寸后,并没有像前几周那样转而持有多头头寸。因此,空头回补是净多头最终增加的主要原因。

而渣打银行分析师认为:“投资者们是在美联储发布6月会议纪要之前进行的持仓,并且还包含了对印度政府对黄金进口政策改变的猜测。虽然后者让多头们失望,但这并没有改变净多头增加的趋势。”

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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