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黄金迎来需求旺季

关键词:实物金需求

加拿大黄金银行矿业及材料股小组周一发布报告称,黄金价格或受到支撑,因印度需求可能出现上升。该行称,印度之前延迟的黄金买需逐步恢复,即将到来的排灯节以及印度婚礼季节将支撑黄金价格。印度卢比可能因新政府的财政纪律而走强,聚焦近期放缓的经常帐赤字,印度卢比的购买力或因此走强,购买黄金会更便宜。

不过该行同时表示,雨季延迟以及通胀走高可能会对印度的黄金需求构成压制。

从历史季节周期来看,目前金市进入了每年表现最好的时段中。”据大宗商品数据商生意社的统计,在亚洲地区一些重要的节日、假日即将到来之际,传统实物黄金主要消费地的巨大需求是不容忽视的因素。

三季度通常是黄金的季节性消费旺季,亚洲地区传统节日消费集中期也将到来,黄金市场能否“出梅入夏”?

“总体上,金市会否持续走高,仍取决于黄金的保值和避险功能是否进一步得到强化。”有分析则指出,三季度黄金的实物消费很可能逐步改善,但金市的表现依然需要包括“投资需求面”等方面的配合。

为此有专家也指出,对投资者来说,黄金市场前期持续多年“单边上涨”持续跑赢市场的时期或已结束。“作为投资品而言,黄金没有分红没有利息,随着价格的频繁波动,值得关注的是,投资者此前将黄金视为具有货币、文化价值以及保值等多重属性、功能于一体的状况或许会改观,黄金‘投资的价值’正逐渐回归本来的面目。”有分析人士认为。

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