近70%金民看涨本周金市
关键字：金市走势
据世界黄金机构上周五公布的最新调查显示，接近70%的市场人士预计本周金价将上涨，因美联储利率决议的整体基调偏宽松，推动金价在隔夜接连升破多个关键技术阻力位。
接受调查的33个市场人士中，26人做出了回应，其中18人看涨，6人看跌，2人中立。市场人士包括实物金交易员、投资银行、期货交易员、货币管理者和技术分析师。
看涨人士称，由于上周美联储偏鸽派的措辞，加上伊拉克的地缘政治风险，预计本周金价会继续上涨。
盛宝银行(Saxo Bank)首席商品策略师Ole Hansen指出，“美联储偏鸽派的观点、伊拉克危机以及金价突破200日均线水平都将为金市打开进一步的上行空间。另外，隔夜白银也录得4%的大涨，并突破2011年来的下行趋势阻力，暗示未来前景大好。”
看跌人士称，由于周四(6月19日)金价上扬过快，因此本周可能会出现回撤。另外实物金需求并未对着金价上涨而升温，这将成为未来数月金价上行的困扰。
菲尼克斯期货和期权公司创始人——Kevin Grady表示，“从对黄金远期利率的监控来看，周四金价大涨吸引的买盘绝大多数来自于对冲基金以及投机机构，真正来自实物买家的买盘少的可怜，同时目前不少实物买家有些倾向于在当前金价水平抛售。”
Grady补充道，“周四金价大涨主要是受空头回补的推动。如果未来金价能够收在1325美元/盎司上方，则可能对冲基金更激进的买盘。不过，以当前的金价水平(1315美元)，这些机构更倾向于做空。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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