分析师看空今年现货黄金市场价格
关键字：现货黄金市场
彭博社报导，尽管金价呈现1983年以来最强劲开年走势，但两名最精确金价预测专家仍维持对今年空头看法。
期金价格今年截至2月14日累涨9.7%，自去年的30年最大年线跌幅弹升，并触及3个月高点。交易所买卖产品（exchange-traded products，ETP）黄金部位上周增加3.2公吨，为2012年12月以来最多，相较去年缩减869.1公吨、价格计跌28%。
彭博社过去两年追踪评列最精准预测者─法国兴业银行（Societe Generale SA）驻伦敦首席金属研究员巴尔（Robin Bhar）指出，「我认为这只是修正。」「我们仍将看空金价。」他估计第4季均价为每盎司1050美元。
在报告显示美国经济成长不如预期快速，及价格降低带动亚洲需求和美国到澳洲金币销售增长下，刺激今年金价走强。
根据最佳金价预测者，这波弹升走势不会持续下去，因为金价上涨将抑制买气，及美国联邦准备理事会（Fed）将因经济转强而持续缩减刺激。
彭博社汇整9名分析师预测中值显示，金价第4季均价将达到每盎司1165美元，较2月14日的1318.60美元下滑12%。即使金价自2011年9月创下的每盎司1923.70美元历史高点拉回31%，仍为2006年均价两倍之多。
巴克莱集团（Barclays Plc）纽约分析师古柏（Suki Cooper）在14日客户建议中指出，在投资人信心未见「更实质转变」下，金价涨势将「动能耗尽」。
高盛集团（Goldman Sachs Group Inc.）以纽约大宗商品研究部主管柯里（Jeffrey Currie）为首分析师12日报告指出，由于美国成长转强，金价将「走低」，重申今年底前下探1050美元的预测。
推荐阅读：
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.