美银美林：美元存下行风险 黄金将续涨
关键字：美元、黄金上涨
美银美林(BofAML)周一(2月17日)在报告中指出，基于全球金融以及商品市场近期的动向，未来美元将有很大的下行风险，而与美元负相关性极强的黄金将笑到最后。
纵观近几个月与美元抗衡资产的表现，黄金是第一个启动反弹的资产，自去年12月中旬以来持续走高。
其次是美国债市，美国10年期国债价格曾从去年12月底走出一波上涨行情。
第三是外汇市场，其中最闪耀的是英镑，在镑/美突破关键阻力后，有望继续上行并对美元造成压力。
最后，近期日本股市的情况有些糟糕，将继续增加美/日的抛压，间接导致美元走低。
美银美林分析师Macneil Curry在日内报告中这样写道：
黄金顺利击破关键阻力
最近几个月黄金现货的表现异常强势，在与美元抗争的众多资产中一马当先。国际金价去年12月末重新下探年内1180美元/盎司低点后反弹势头迅猛，如今已经上破150日均线1295美元/盎司，为1月13日来首次，150日均线是良好的辨别中期多空转换的指标。从上图可以观察到，目前金价的初步阻力在1355/1374美元区域。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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