花旗银行：美联储任何决定或都不利黄金
关键字：黄金走势
今晚美联储将公布会议纪要，美联储会议纪要之后，欧洲央行和英国央行将在周四公布利率会议决定，而周五(1月10日)美国12月非农就业报告也将公布。
现货黄金价格自12月31日以来反弹，在1250附近迎来初阻。金价隔夜最低回落触及1225下方，周三(1月8日)亚市早盘则位于1226/27附近窄幅盘整。
首先进入视线焦点的将是北京时间周四(1月9日)凌晨将公布的美联储12月会议纪要。投资者将关注FOMC委员削减QE意愿的强度。这对于金价后续发展至关重要。
知名券商RJO Brien&Associates的副总裁Alex Manzara在接受媒体采访时表示，“美联储12月决定削减QE规模是千钧一发的决定，因此我们需要密切关注会议纪要中委员们的措辞。”Manzara也提醒道，“我认为利率确实有可能继续上升。日本和欧洲也有量化宽松措施，你可以看到日本和德国的利率就出现上升。美联储削减购债(减少购买)，以及美国经济增长(股市更加吸引资金)，都会令利率上涨。而且，新的美联储女主席上任，如果市场想试试耶伦的能耐，那么长期利率是一个不错的选择。”
10年期美国国债收益率在美联储宣布削减QE之后上涨至3%，而与此同时，现货黄金价格也下跌至1180一线。黄金投资者会格外关注利率，因为一旦实际利率上涨，黄金的吸引力将会下降。
花旗银行(Citibank)机构客户部商品和期货研究专家Sterling Smith表示，“由于金价在2014年初始阶段反弹强劲，(如果会议纪要不利于金价)卖压可能会很明显。”
他声称，“由于美联储确实已经开始削减QE，会议纪要结果的任何影响，(对黄金来说)都有可能是负面的。”不过，黄金并非毫无机会。Smith指出，“唯一能和会议纪要抗衡的因素，恐怕只有近期两大商品指数上调对黄金、白银的权重。”
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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