预估QE10月不会缩减 现货黄金交易价格看涨
关键字：现货黄金价格
《The Gold Report》9月24日报导，Sprott Asset Management资深基金经理人Charles Oliver认为，黄金期货的基本面将支撑金价继续上涨，他确信金价最终会突破每盎司二千美元价位，虽然无法预测何时会发生；但他指出在其公司内部，部分经理人认为在未来12个月内金价就有机会突破二千美元。
巴克莱银行（Barclays）周一报告称，预计美联储10月缩减量化宽松（QE）规模的可能性不大，未来黄金价格将涨至1,482美元/盎司，2013年第四季度黄金的均价预估将在1,463美元/盎司。该行指出，美国实际利率的波动对黄金价格是一个关键的驱动因素，不过目前的宏观经济大环境还是利好黄金的。
尽管巴克莱银行预计短期黄金仍有一定的上扬空间，但其表示一些利空方面的消息也值得投资者密切关注。其中，黄金ETF今年已累计减少694公吨，对黄金价格而言这是个极大的利空因素。实物黄金需求方面，上海黄金交易近期的交易量持续维持在一个相对较低的水平，暗示需求疲软。但印度即将进入黄金消费旺季，这也带动该国国内金价飙升。
花旗集团（Citigroup）最新报告则称，虽然上周美国联准会意外维持量化宽松规模不变，对金价造成短暂的提振效果，但金价下跌的趋势可能不会改变；该行预期2014年平均金价将为每盎司1,250美元，且今年底以前金价就有可能来到此价位。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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