黄金保值需求随QE退市锐减
关键字：黄金保值需求、QE退市
随着QE退场、资金热潮,金融商品风险升高,预料不动产将成为资金停泊的标的,可预见未来几年,打房将成全球各国的风潮。
中信房屋今(24)日发布第3季宅指数记者会,调查显示,本季有高达43%的民众认为不动产为最抗跌保值标的,较前季的44.2%虽略减,但仍第19季蝉联冠军,其次为保留现金,由前季的17.5%升至19.1%,稳居第二名;而黄金/贵金属则由年初的第二名至第四名,较第三名的保险更低。
目前经济情势看来,美国的景气正在乐观复苏中,QE一定会退场,资金也会由新兴市场回流美元资产,在美元走强下,黄金保值需求不再如过去强劲,因此预料未来黄金/贵金属价格将难大涨,波动的可能性高。
中信本季调查结果也显示,有购屋意愿的民众,购屋目标以“自用”占比最高,达46.8%,但上季下滑3个百分点,而“投资”目标则由上季的32.5%上升至35%;另外,“买给父母和子女”的比重则由上季的17.7%上升至18.3%。
从全球总体经济角度分析,预料QE退场、热钱退潮,新兴市场和金融商品的风险升高,资金会回到美元资产,或者是不动产等保值性高、风险相对小的产品中,可预料未来高房价的民怨会更高、全球政府打房将成风潮。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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