黄金需求季的到来 将减缓金价下跌幅度
关键字:金价下跌
黄金资产波段大涨之后,9月以来随着美国联准会(FED)货币政策方向即将揭晓,黄金走势呈现波动,分析师指出,目前黄金期货空单部位大幅减少,对舒缓黄金价格下跌压力有相当大帮助,掌握未来黄金市场布局机会,可以观察黄金ETF的黄金持有量、以及黄金期货多单部位,何时出现明显回升,一旦重拾资金涨升动能,后市可望展开另一波弹升行情。
根据彭博统计,黄金交易期货空单部位在连续7周下滑后,至9月3日止的当周,空单部位微幅增加,唯统计今年7月9日以来,纽约期货交易所做空部位已大幅减少,由14.4万口下降至7.4万口,分析师指出,FED会议时点逐渐接近,使得黄金投资表现越受影响,但目前黄金期货空头部位已大幅减少,近期表现虽波动但下档空间相对有限。
虽然近2年黄金资产走势不甚理想,但拉长时间来看,黄金在传统旺季期间效应仍在,根据彭博统计近10年,金矿股在第4季旺季期间上涨机率仍有6成,尤其中国、印度两大饰金需求大国,今年趁黄金下跌进场的抢购热潮,让逐渐来到的饰金需求旺季备受期待。
黄金需求旺季的到来,将对金价构成一定的支撑力,或可轻微减缓叙利亚局势稳定带来的冲击。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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