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世银专家背书无效 印度卢比破历史新低

关键字:印度卢比

世界银行首席经济学家Kaushik Basu 19日发言力挺印度总理辛格(Manmohan Singh),表示印度外汇存底充沛,无需向国际货币基金组织(IMF)求援。

路透社和华尔街日报报导,总理辛格上周六(17日)表示,2,790亿美元的外汇存底将足以协助国家渡过近20年来最严重的经济危机;印度不会重蹈覆辙,再次爆发「国际收支平衡危机(Balance of Payment crisis)」。

1991年,印度一度濒临破产,无力偿还主权债,被迫空运黄金担保品换取IMF的贷款援助,当时外汇存底仅够支付15天的进口债款。辛格说如今情况远胜当时,现在外汇存底足以因应6-7个月的进口债款。

然而两人的保证不足以阻挡股汇市的强大卖压。嘉实XQ全球赢家系统报价显示,台北时间晚上8点51分为止,卢比再次跌破历史新低,美元兑印度卢比大涨2.92%、至63.450。5月底以来,卢比在亚洲货币中表现一直敬陪末座;印度经常帐赤字过去一年来急剧升高,市场担忧1991年危机重演,是卢比走贬的元凶之一。

印度SENSEX指数延续上周跌势,19日大跌1.56%至18,307.52点,为4月12日以来的收盘新低。印度股市方于上周五(16日)惨跌3.97%、单日跌幅创2011年9月22日以来之最。

Basu原本是印度的首席经济顾问,去年才转赴世界银行就职。他认为印度基本面强健,尽管上一会计年度经济成长创10年新低、仅有5%,却仍是全球发展最快的国家之一。但他也警告,印度经济恐怕还会进一步放缓,之后才有望止跌回升。

 

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