国际市场综合分析 金价或持续有上升空间
国际货币基金组织调低了全国经济增速，预料经济增长步伐放缓。让金价在低位有支持。
但另一方面中国经济增长放缓，未必能达到保持每7.5% 的增长。同时在通胀升温下，削弱了人民对黄金的需求。加上欧债有蔓延迹象，意大利经济持续萎缩，都限制了金价的升幅。
今天关注凌晨伯南克的发表，会不会对削减购债有更强硬的立场
今天开市价为1247美元。而上个交易日最高价位为1260美元，最低价位则1232美元。
首先美国6月份咨商会就业趋势指数为116.64(升0.05%)。数据好于预期令市场揣测美联储提早退出货币宽松政策(QE)的话题又再升温。
同时英国公布5月工业产出年率下降2.3%(预期1.5%)数据逊色于预期，使美元兑其他重要货币大幅度地上扬令金价受挫回调。
然而昨日中国6月居民消费价格指数(CPI)2.7%超出市场预期。加上6月工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)仍维持同比跌势，暗示中国整体经济的需求依然处于滞停状态。此提升了黄金避险能力令昨晚现货金收涨。
最后动荡的埃及局势,酝酿的欧债危机及僵持的玻利维亚与欧美储国的外交风波;均会刺激投资者对黄金的避险情绪。令金价短期一个月内持续有上升的空间。
今日市场焦点集中于美国5月批发库存及销售数据。
今晚有美国经济数据公布及欧元区有多个经济数据公布。预计经济疲弱的欧元区承接近日数据劣势继续逊色于预期令金价受挫。
故今日金价大多于50美元区间游走;预测金价为1225-1275美元。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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