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7月10日国际市场分析与评估

美国联储局前一次发布议息会议结果,当中伯南克讲出了预计退市时间表,市场忧虑美国退市后有机会提早加息,令金价持续受压,金价由议息前1370附近下跌至上周五的1180,跌至近3年的低位。

另外,美国多个经济数据开好亦增加市场对美国退市加息的忧虑,引发大量沽盘。
同时上周五美国非农业就业数据新增19.5万,比预期16.5万开好,而上月公布的耐用品订单,新屋销售等均开好。

短期预计金价会徘徊在1230-1260区间,市场关注本周三美联储主席伯南克在经济研讨会透露美国经济复甦情况以及周四凌晨的6月份议息会议结果。

中长线预计,金价可升至1450-1500,主要是金价在1250水位下,刺激实际需求买家入市,而下半年也是中国印度的黄金需求旺季。其次,葡萄牙、埃及等地区政局不稳也增加了黄金的避险需求。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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