华尔街力挺黄金,利好或支撑金价突破1900?
周一(5月17日)亚洲时段,现货黄金持稳于1845附近。上周五(5月14日)美国的零售销售和消费者信心指数均不及预期,导致美元和美债收益率双双下滑,这对金价构成有力的支撑。另外,美联储官员的讲话、巴以冲突、比特币近期的暴跌以及亚洲疫情的不断恶化都成为黄金上涨的利多因素。与此同时,股市的强劲限制了金价的涨势。
美国4月零售销售逊于预期
美国零售销售继3月份随纾困支票发放而大幅增长后,在4月份持平于前月。
美国商务部周五公布的数据显示,4月整体零售额环比基本持平,3月上修为增长10.7%。调查显示,经济学家预估中值为4月增长1%。4月零售总额为创纪录的6199亿美元,支持了经济学家对今年年内家庭支出将保持强劲的预测。
随着对新冠疫情的担忧消退,消费者支出可能开始更多转向娱乐和旅行等服务,同时,财政刺激措施带来的储蓄应该有助于支撑零售需求。
大田环球分析师认为,这份数据对那些认为美联储就要紧缩货币政策的人泼了冷水。
巴以冲突进入第二周
尽管联合国安理会开会讨论了巴以暴力冲突,国际社会的停火呼声越来越高,但以色列与哈马斯之间的武装对抗进入第二周,多年来最严重的敌对状态并没有短期内中止的任何迹象。
以色列周日空袭加沙,损坏了数栋房屋,卫生官员称空袭造成42名巴勒斯坦人死亡,其中包括10名儿童。巴勒斯坦武装组织则向以色列发射火箭弹。
不过巴以冲突对市场影响有限,市场参与人士普遍认为,只要这场冲突不蔓延到中东地区产油国,其对全球经济造成的风险将是可控的,黄金很难因此走出单边上涨行情。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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