黄金继续承压，美元指数可能创最大涨幅
关键词：黄金继续承压
3月20日，现货黄金出现大幅反弹，美元指数在刷新近年高位后回落，但目前美元指数下调幅度有限，有希望录下近年来的最高单周涨幅。美元荒强化了全球央行采取合作行动的预期，削弱目前持续上涨的美元。
新冠肺炎疫情已导致全球近25万人感染，逾1万人死亡。这引发投资者对现金的疯狂追逐，投资者抛出股票、债券、黄金和大宗商品等一切资产。
美联储的资产负债表本周达到创纪录的4.7万亿美元，随着央行为缓解全球公共卫生事件经济影响而采取的举措落地，美联储宽松行动出现见效的迹象。
英国央行上日紧急降息15个基点至0.1%，并承诺增加2000亿英镑购债计划。这是他们为保护英国经济免受全球公共卫生事件影响而做出的最新尝试。英国央行在上周三(3月11日)刚刚将基准利率从0.75%下调至0.25%。
消息人士表示，由于全球公共卫生事件造成全球市场恐慌，并令航空业等行业陷入困境，澳洲将在周末宣布扩大该刺激计划。
年初至今，全球已有逾30家央行宣布降息，不少还采取了额外的量化宽松措施。全球多国政府承诺，提供数以万亿计资金支持社会及经济。旨在确保银行、企业融资继续正常运转。
美元在最近两周的暴涨逾6%，着实令人吃惊。美联储向另外九个国家的央行开放了获取美元的渠道，希望防止全球公共卫生事件造成全球经济崩溃。
强势美元不仅让美国总统特朗普气馁——阻碍美国出口，而且将导致其他经济体进口物价上升、或者迫使利率调升以保护本国货币，这些都容易使金融市场趋紧。
分析师说：“大家抛售一切，共同点是他们只想得到现金，人们就想坐拥现金，因为到最后，人们不知道下一笔收入从何而来，但他们又要支应开销。我认为这种情况不会改变。”
主要经济体面临的压力甚至强化了全球主要央行将采取联合行动的猜测，他们可能会推动一份新的广场协议。1985年签订的广场协议就是主要央行联合出手干预，削弱大涨的美元。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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