黑天鹅事件受压制，鲍威尔证词喜忧各有
关键词：黑天鹅事件受压制
2月12日，现货黄金持续承压，由于市场对公共卫生事件的看法逐渐乐观，美联储官员也对美国经济前景有一定的乐观，但美国经济仍有一定困难那，金价的跌幅并不明显，鲍威尔也对经济赤字提出了一定的警告。
美联储主席鲍威尔在国会也称，公共卫生事件很可能对美国产生一定的影响，“我们要问的问题是，这些是不是长期影响，是否会导致前景评估出现实质性改变。”他说，现在还无法知道答案，一切都为时太早。
毕竟全球交通出行尚未完全恢复正常，相关不确定性依然存在。若事态出现反复，不排除市场情绪重新转向恐慌，黄金空头切记短线快进快出。
美联储主席鲍威尔周二告诉国会，美国经济形势良好，当前1.5%-1.75%的短期借贷成本目标区间，是保持经济在既定轨道上扩张的“适当”水平。
鲍威尔还为美联储通过购买美债和回购操作来缓解银行系统资金压力的计划进行了辩护，并表示美联储可能会在年中左右达到适当的储备水平。
但鲍威尔也指出了一些令人不安的迹象。他对不断增长的联邦赤字发出了温和的警告，预计到2020年，联邦赤字将超过1万亿美元，部分原因是减税。
他还指出，生产率增长“在本轮经济扩张周期一直低于历史平均水平”，想方设法提高劳动参与率和生产率“仍应是一项全国性优先要务。”
特朗普政府一直在推行“美国优先”计划，曾威胁对进口自欧洲的汽车和零部件征收25%的关税。欧洲官员也发出警告，表示将对美国征收汽车与其他商品关税的举措进行报复。
在全球经济增长放缓、特朗普寻求连任之际，另一场贸易冲突的诡谲气氛正在升高。这也给饱受公共卫生事件困扰的全球经济前景增添了新的不确定性，无法说服投资者大量出脱避险资产。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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