欧美疲弱数据支撑金价
关键词：欧美疲弱数据
10月24日，现货黄金出现持续攀升，市场关注的欧洲央行利率决议维持政策不变，继续释放鸽派基调，同时强调经济下行风险。同时美国经济数据以及欧洲制造业数据表现不佳，支撑金价，而且全球经济放缓预期以及美联储下周降息预期也对金价有一定支撑。
德国10月Markit制造业PMI初值41.9，预期42，前值41.7。Markit经济学家Phil Smith指出，德国10月制造业PMI初值在一定程度上打压了第四季度制造业恢复的希望，10月的制造业数据显示出欧元区这个最大经济体的经济活动进一步出现萎缩，潜在需求继续走软。
与此同时，欧元区劳动力市场也受到了冲击。有迹象表明，由于产能过剩及未来一年内不确定性的加剧，企业正在削减开支。对于未来前景的乐观情绪于10月份进一步恶化，降至6年多来最低水平，主要因全球贸易紧张态势、英国脱欧不确定性较高及全球经济增速放缓等因素相关。
调查显示，欧洲央行行长德拉基结束任期时，欧元区的经济增长几乎停滞，就业增长放缓，通胀难以升至欧洲央行目标水平，人们对于前景的预期越来越悲观，这为欧洲央行下一任行长拉加德带来了较大压力。
周四纽约时段，欧洲央行行长德拉基在任内最后一次政策讲话中，仍放出鸽派基调，着重强调经济下行风险，这给金价带来支撑。
稍早前，欧洲央行宣布欧洲央行维持三大关键利率不变，但重申自11月1日起重启净资产购买计划，规模为每月200亿欧元。从整体来看，欧洲央行的政策声明几无变动。
欧洲央行表示：“如有需要，将继续购债，将在加息前不久停止购债。预期利率将维持在当前或者更低水平，直至通胀前景稳固转向接近但低于2%的目标水平。 ”
数据显示美国耐用品订单的整体和各分项指标都现出负增长，进一步坐实了美国经济面临的投资疲软困境，而这也强化了观察人士对于美国经济失速的预期，使得对下周美联储会议决议继续降息的预期进一步升温。
尽管商业活动自近期低点有所上升，然而调查数据显示美国第四季度初的GDP年化增速略低于1.5%，新订单增长近乎停止，维持在十年来最低水平，这表明接下来几个月中，经济增速将倾向于维持在趋势之下的水平。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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