金价有所回落，德拉基鸽派不及预期
关键词：金价有所回落
7月25日，现货黄金维持回落走势，在美国数据公布以及欧洲央行行长德拉基讲话后回落。美国耐用品数据表现良好，同时德拉基没有向市场预期那样表明鸽派，金价出现回落并跌破1420关口。
欧洲央行行长德拉基召开新闻发布会，强调需要显著规模的刺激措施，但预期年底通胀回升。德拉基的鸽派基调不及预期，这样市场对全球央行宽松的预期降温，这对金价不利。
经济增速方面，德拉基认为，劳动力成本压力有所增强，就业和薪资增长支撑经济增长，服务业、建筑业表现出韧性。
欧洲央行本周仍缺乏祭出全面宽松计划的紧迫性。一些决策者认为，经济前景与几个月前相比并未发生根本性转变，所以欧洲央行应等待9月内部工作人员新的通胀和成长预估，之后再校准下一步行动。
此外该数据分项方面，美国6月扣除飞机非国防耐用品订单月率初值实际公布1.9%，预期0.2%，前值0.5%；美国6月扣除运输耐用品订单月率初值实际公布1.2%；预期0.2%，前值0.4%。
分析师表示，“从过去三天开始，黄金价格一直受到区间波动的影响。一些基金经理开始关闭一些头寸以准备美联储会议。”
分析师表示，“在关键事件发生之前，人们喜欢锁定一些利润，因为没有人知道接下来会发生什么。有些人可能会利用波动来推动价格小幅走低，并在下跌后买回。总体而言，从长期来看，我们仍然看好黄金。”
分析师认为，看跌标普500指数和看涨黄金策略的某种结合是有道理的，当前，美元已经接近数十年高点，如果再继续上涨，对于美国经济的影响是特朗普不愿意看到的。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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