鲍威尔鹰派发声,黄金空头会反转吗
2月28日,现货黄金价格一度延续昨日走势,小幅下跌。投资者认为,美联储主席鲍威尔的言论意味着,今年升息次数可能多于先前的预测。但有交易商指出,全球通胀料将上扬,投资者可能考虑用黄金来对冲通胀。
e分析师在报告中指出:“金市短线可能面临美元续强,债券收益率上扬及股市恢复疲势等局面,这种景况可能压低金价。”
然而,香港一交易商指出,随着全球经济成长,通胀料将上扬,投资者可能考虑用黄金来对冲通胀。鲍威尔在国会作证时指出,近期数据的表现增强了他对通胀的信心。
该名交易商表示:“投资人伺机逢低承接黄金,因此我认为金价在1300美元可望获得支撑。”
鲍威尔在此次讲话中表示,对通胀的信心变得更强了,12月美联储会议以来的数据显示经济在走强。整体讲话内容对经济和通胀预期偏乐观,结合稍早公布的鲍威尔国会作证证词中显示,美联储认为,市场波动性不会停止进一步加息,金融环境仍宽松。
上述观点都反应了美联储预计通胀将进一步走高,也提升了市场对美联储加速收紧的预期,从而带动美元走强,金价回落。
分析师表示,美联储主席鲍威尔目前为止的证词可以被解读为鹰派,对美元有支持。鲍威尔强调了经济的进展,并表示他对通胀的信心越来越强。Rai表示,这足以让市场对今年加息次数预期由三次上调到四次,并让美元获得支撑。
亚洲股市周三续跌,债市走低,因中国制造业数据走疲重燃了在美国加快升息的疑虑下,市场对全球经济成长情况的担忧。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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