非农现状：美指跳升黄金下挫
北京时间周五(10月6日)20:30，美国劳工部公布的9月非农就业减少，但薪资水平却意外大幅抬升，美联储的心头大患得以解除。现货黄金短线上冲近2美元后下挫6美元，刷新8月9日以来低点至1263.48美元/盎司；美元指数跳升逾25点至94.27。
由于8月底到9月初，美国南部地区接连遭遇了两场超强飓风侵袭，就业市场难免受到不小的冲击，因此广大投资者对这份数据报告早就普遍预期悲观，但出现就业岗位减少还是出乎市场预料。
具体数据显示，美国9月非农就业岗位减少3.3万，创7年来首次负增长，预期值为增加8万，前值增加15.6万；
美国劳工部发表声明称，飓风只是减少了非农就业人数，对美国失业率没有造成明显的影响，调查的非农数据符合正常区间，约147万人因为恶劣天气而无法工作，尤其是食品服务领域就业出现大幅下滑。
根据既往的经验，提供数据预期的各大投行往往倾向于低估自然灾害等一次性事件对于就业活动的短期冲击，比如今年3月份美国东北部遭受雪灾后，当月的实际非农就业增长数据就低于所有投行机构的预估。
美国劳工部此前公布的数据显示，德克萨斯和佛罗里达两个州共有87个县受到风灾侵袭，就业总人数约为1120万，但这仅占据全美劳动力大军的约7.7%。美国只要保证每月新增10万个就业岗位，就能消化新增劳动力就业需求，而今年以来，美国月均新增非农岗位达到17.5万个。
分析师表示，尽管飓风带来的影响不小，但美国就业市场依然潜力巨大。该机构援引美联储在最近一次政策会议中的说法称，飓风导致的非农数据短期疲软不足为惧，决策层仍将主要关注平均小时薪资年率。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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