非农金价却异常疲软，金价靠谁来支撑
9月1日纽约盘中，非农后现货黄金上演惊险一幕，短线跳升10美元后大幅跳水，回吐全部升势，现报1319美元/盎司。尽管非农疲软，但金价却未能如愿站上1330美元。
美国8月季调后非农就业人口增幅放缓至15.60万人，8月失业率升至4.4%；8月平均每小时工资月率增长0.1%，年率增长2.5%，双双不及预期。
令市场更为不安的是，由于受到哈维飓风的影响，下个月将公布的非农报告料也不如意。
分析师解释说，表现不佳的薪资报告只会使得市场对美联储目前的加息计划持怀疑态度。原因其一在于有消息称欧洲央行在12月前不会调整QE，欧元跳水带动相关市场出现逆转；其二在于技术性调整，现货黄金多头以及美元空头，积累了过多的获利头寸，在市场炒作降温之际，投资者选择合适时机了结头寸。
现货黄金未能冲高，是不是就被宣判了死刑？然而市场可能并不会那样简单。9月份面临大量的风险事件都可能为金价带来转机，这包括地缘政治危机、美联储决议、以及市场对美国股市忧虑。
未来数日尤其值得注意的是朝鲜的动向，如果朝鲜报道局势加剧，现货黄金很可能会冲至1330美元上方。外媒猜测，朝鲜可能会在9月9日这一天进行地下核试验，或是再发射一枚导弹。这一天是朝鲜的国庆节。朝鲜上一次核试验就是在这一天进行的。
就在朝鲜继续试验导弹时，韩国情报官员本周在首尔对立法者表示，朝鲜严格来说是在为第六次地下核实验做准备。
在通胀疲软，哈维飓风等重重压力之下，美联储9月决议可能会比较温和。即使美联储宣布缩表，也可能通过其他方式显示出鸽派立场。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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