美指九个月高位震荡
周一(10月24日)美元指数徘徊在九个月高位附近，兑日元触及一周高位，美联储年内升息的预期继续支撑美元。
近期经济数据良好和美联储官员的言论提振12月升息预期，根据CME Group的FedWatch工具，周一交易商预期美联储12月升息机率约为74%。
芝加哥联储主席埃文斯周一表示，如果通胀预期和就业市场持续改善，从目前到明年年底美国宜加息三次。
上周五旧金山联邦储备银行总裁威廉姆斯的讲话和10月19日纽约联储总裁杜德利的言论也暗示，美联储接近升息。
继上周好于预期的9月美国成屋销售数据出炉后，周一金融数据公司Markit报告，美国10月制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)初值升至一年高位，缓解了交易商对美国经济的担心。
美元指数小升，报98.775，略低于盘中稍早触及的近九个月高位98.846。
欧元兑美元跌0.08%，报1.0873美元，接近周五触及的逾七个月低位1.0857。
美元兑新兴市场货币下跌。分析师将此归因于风险意愿上升，以及最近民调显示，民主党总统选人希拉里的支持率领先特朗普，目前离11月8日美国总统选举还剩两周的时间。
特朗普支持贸易保护主义措施的立场，被认为这对新兴市场货币带来风险。
BMO Capital Markets外汇策略部门全球主管Greg Anderson表示，“从大选对美元的影响程度来看，新兴市场货币的表现反映出，市场预计特朗普当选的可能性下降。”
纽约尾盘，美元兑墨西哥披索小跌，报18.56披索，兑巴西雷亚尔下跌逾1%，至两个半月低位3.1148雷亚尔。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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