德国IFO商业景气指数创逾两年高位
德国智库IFO 周二(10月25日)发布的数据显示,德国10月IFO商业景气指数好于预期,且升至两年多来高位,表明欧元区最大经济体的增长势头恢复。
具体数据显示,德国10月IFO商业景气指数为110.5,创2014年4月来高位,且高于预期值109.6和前值109.5;德国10月IFO商业现况指数为115.0,高于预期值114.9和前值114.7;德国10月IFO商业预期指数为106.1,高于预期值和前值(两者均为104.5)。
今日公布的数据进一步表明德国经济正在克服暂时的放缓。10月24日公布的Markit采购经理调查显示,德国10月制造业创近三年来最快扩张速度,因德国企业增加了雇佣人数,这部分是为了回应来自美国和亚洲的更为强劲的需求。
德国央行此前认为德国第二季度疲软的经济增速是暂时性的,德国经济的基本势头依旧强劲。德国央行10月24日在其月度报告中称,出口和制造业的商业预期表明下个月德国经济的状况将改善。
IFO经济学家称,德国就业状况良好,德国经济早已消化了欧洲央行扩张性货币政策。投资品生产商与出口商正在复苏,英国脱欧公投的影响已经被消化;最近加拿大-欧盟综合性经济贸易协议(CETA)所陷入的困局,并未对德国经济造成负面影响。
经济学家并称,中国与美国经济近期释放良好信号,有利于出口商,而消费则仍是德国经济的稳定支柱。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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