德国5月季调后出口创今年最大增幅
关键词：德国5月季调后出口创今年最大增幅
7月9日讯 ，周四（7月9日）公布的数据显示，德国5月出口创今年以来最大增幅，使得德国二季度经济强劲增长的预期迅速升温，其一季度经济仅录得温和扩张。
德国联邦统计局（FSO）公布的数据显示，德国5月季调后出口月率意外增长1.7%，进口则增长0.4%，5月贸易顺差扩大至228亿欧元。
未季调的贸易数据显示，德国5月对欧元区出口年率上升5.1%，对非欧盟国家出口增加2.3%，对欧盟内部非欧元区国家出口上升8.2%。
ING分析师Carsten Brzeski称：“整体而言，这些数据表明德国二季度经济正强劲增长”。他指出，今年初以来，月度出口数据回升归因于欧元贬值，但尚不清楚与希腊危机相关的不确定性将如何影响6月经济。
受对外贸易的而拖累，德国一季度经济失去动能，经济增速放缓至0.3%，但二季度经济料已扩张0.5%左右。
分析师表示，对外贸易可能对二季度经济增长作出贡献。然而，民间消费料继续推动今年经济增长，因消费者受惠于高就业、薪资增长和低通胀，而且处于纪录低位的利率让德国民众几乎没有进行储蓄的动力。
本周稍早公布的数据显示，德国5月工业生产停滞不前且工业订单小幅下滑。不过，贸易数据带来一些鼓舞。受希腊危机的影响，追踪企业、投资者和消费者信心的前瞻性调查结果已经转为恶化。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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