中国出口数据疲软 人民币承压
关键词：中国出口数据疲软
人民币兑美元即期早盘续跌至两周低点；中间价走低并逼近6.14元关口。离岸人民币的下跌及中国出口的疲软令在岸人民币承压。
交易员指出，因离岸人民币大幅承压，且中国公布3月出口意外疲软导致顺差缩窄，在岸人民币汇价快速走弱。
交易员同时表示，最近港股、B股表现强劲，市场购汇热情高涨激发购汇盘持续发力。从技术角度分析，上周人民币汇率触及6.19元附近阻力之后，市场已经接受该区间是短期高点的看法。
城商行交易员表示，“目前市场总体美元买力较足，购汇需求现在又显现出来了。此外，今天公布的3月海关进出口数据偏弱。”
该交易员称，3月进出口同比增速双双下降，贸易顺差大幅收窄，这对市场会有心理预期上的作用，提振购汇需求。
中国海关周一公布，以美元计价的3月出口同比下降15.0%，增速创13个月新低；3月进口同比下降12.7%。此前，外媒调查预估分别为增长12.0%和下降11.7%。
招商银行金融市场部高级分析师刘东亮表示，考虑到3月贸易顺差大幅收窄，此前制约人民币波动的因素有所放宽，预计人民币双向波动弹性有望进一步上升。若近期美元指数走强，则人民币可能出现小幅贬值。
海外无本金交割远期外汇(NDF)市场上，美元/人民币一年期品种最新报6.3265/6.3315，香港的离岸人民币兑美元即期报在6.2254/6.2274。
早盘时段，人民币兑美元即期报6.2141，上日收报6.208。盘中触及6.2165的3月30日以来新低。今日人民币兑美元中间价为6.1395，上日中间价为6.137。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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