美联储维持基准利率,未弃用“相当长一段时间”
关键词:美联储维持基准利率
周四(12月18日)北京时间凌晨03:00,美联储(FED)在结束为期两天的货币政策会议后,发表了市场翘首以待的货币政策声明。美联储声明如市场此前预期的那样,维持基准利率0.25%不变,但有关键一点于市场预期不同的是,美联储指出可以耐心的开始将货币政策立场正常化,但并未弃用“相当长一段时间”措辞。
美联储货币政策声明公布后,多空双方激烈交锋,现货黄金快速触及1201.30后回撤,触及1188.30,随后大幅反弹触及1201.50,但金价未能守稳涨幅,再度下跌,刷新两周低点至1183.70美元/盎司。
政策声明指出,其中15位决策者认为首次升息的合适时间在2015年,2为认为在2016年。
美联储指出,“重申如果经济进展较预期更快,升息就可能较预期提前,但如果进展放缓则可能推迟升息,通胀继续在委员会较长期目标下方运行,部分因能源价格下挫。”
美联储并指出,决策者的預期中值为在2015年底适合的联邦基金利率为1.125%(之前预估为1.375%),預期2016年底利率为2.500%(之前预估为2.875%),預期2017年底利率为3.625%(之前预估为3.750%)。”
委员会预计指引符合之前声明提及的在10月购买资产结束后的一段相当长时间内维持联邦基金利率目前0-0.25%目标区间将可能是合适的,
美联储FOMC决议自2011年以来首次出现3张反对票,本次决议以7比3的投票结果通过利率决定,费舍尔、柯薛拉柯塔及普罗索投出反对票,其中费舍尔支持的加息时间早于多数委员。
此外,下调2015年年底失业率预期至5.2-5.3%,9月料在5.4-5.6%。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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