基金继续流出 现货黄金步履蹒跚
关键字：本日亚盘现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
本日亚市盘面，国际现货黄金延续下滑格局，同时走势偏弱，因市场万分期待为期两天的美联储议息会议的结果，黄金则在货币政策公布前维持震荡，外界预期美联储将继续将其庞大的购债规模缩减100亿美元，由于美国数据喜忧参半，金价短期内无明确方向指引，导致亚市时段市场交投略为清淡，伦敦金价震荡区间不超7美元。
【基本面分析】
据英央行2014年年度报告显示，该行目前监管5584吨黄金，价值约1400亿英镑，管辖黄金规模较去年锐减487吨，总价值下降近700亿英镑。据悉，英央行一直为很多国家央行及伦敦黄金交易所，黄金基金等机构代为存储监管黄金，有分析指称这批减少黄金最有可能来源自伦敦黄金交易所的客户持仓减少。
全球最大黄金上市交易基金(ETF)–SPDR Gold Trust 称，6月17日黄金持仓量减少0.26吨至782.62吨，为连续第二日下滑，前一天6月16日时更创下4月中以来最大外流规模。这反映黄金基金投资者对黄金后市的走势看空，虽伊拉克内部战乱导致美国和伊朗介入从而引发市场避险需求，但黄金买盘却迟迟未敢进场。
北京时间周四凌晨2时，美国联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将宣布利率决议结果，并发表政策声明。北京时间周四凌晨2时30分，美联储主席耶伦将主持新闻发布会，FOMC会议声明及耶伦在记者会上发表的讲话将会视作为提供FOMC未来行动的线索。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价继昨日开出下影线大于烛体的阴线后，受空方强势动能影响下，本日继续为开出阴线的现货黄金行情，下方受5日均线和布林线中轨的支撑，布林开口向下收窄。附图指标绿色动能柱缩减，与盘面形成背离。4小时图上，均线系统出现粘合，或暗示结束自6月3日以来的上涨行情，附图指标MACD快慢线掉头向下，或出现绿色动能柱，Stoch线和10日RSI指标强弱走势不明显。总体来看，日内上方关键阻力位为20日布林中轨1272，下方初步支撑位为1263，短期来看，若金价突破上方关键阻力位后可进场做多，在回调状态下大田贵金属建议持仓并观望为主。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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