海外资金持续逃离 现货黄金难逃一跌
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘前,国际现货金价走势维持早盘跌幅,一度交投于1270下方位置。由于昨夜公布的美国CPI数据远高于市场预期,因此市场预测美联储议息会议后将会实现提早加息,而这一不利影响将对金价构成影响。
【基本面分析】
英国央行2014年年度报告显示,该行目前监管着5584吨黄金,价值约1400亿英镑。该数据较去年的6071吨锐减487吨,总价值也下降将近700亿英镑。英国央行为很多国家央行以及伦敦金银市场协会等机构代为存储监管黄金,这些减少的黄金最有可能是LBMA客户持有的减少。
另外,SPDR黄金ETF(GLD)的金库也设在伦敦,但有多少被存在英国央行的金库中尚无法得知。但是GLD在同期流出了差不多451吨黄金。如果GLD流出的黄金都来自位于香港的金库,那么外加英格兰银行金库存量的减少,总共就有938吨实物黄金流出。因此,我们或许能借此推测出海外资金近期仍在持续逃离黄金,这对于黄金不得不说是一个重大利空
【技术分析】
伦敦金上个交易日探底回升,日K线收一根带长下影线星线,而技术指标中,KDJ指标拐头向下进入调整,MACD指标红柱略有缩短,由于近期消息面不明,市场对黄金仍然维持谨慎态度,但是总体来看,黄金再度大幅度上行的可能性不大,建议投资者适当做空。
本日支撑位:1270 1264 1260
本日阻力位:1272 1274 1280
由日内黄金走势上看,黄金总体走势仍然疲弱,虽然盘中曾有小幅拉升至1270上方位置,但是最终未能稳守,再加上今晚美联储议息会议后,加息的可能性较大,这将不利于黄金,因此建议炒黄金的投资者可以在1270位置布置空单,目标1264下方,止损5美金
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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