市场聚焦联储会议 现货黄金高位整理
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周一欧洲盘中，在伊拉克局势的推动之下，国际现货黄金价格涨至三周以来的最高位置，趋势持续上行。但是，短期内黄金已经连续多个交易日出现上涨，金价走势短期内不排除有回调需求，而且，市场本周的焦点将聚集在美联储的议息会议上，到底黄金能否再下一城？还的看美联储给不给面子啊
【基本面分析】
美联储将在本周二和周三召开一个半月一次的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议。主席耶伦也将第二次走进FOMC会后新闻发布会的现场。市场认为，此次美联储将以与过去相同的幅度削减每个月QE规模，而对升息的态度，以及对经济增速，失业率的预期将会成为市场关注的重点。
美国路透，英国《金融时报》和《华尔街日报》等多家权威媒体均认为，本次FOMC会议将按部就班，即削减100亿美元资产购买规模至350亿美元。政策难有意外变动，故投资者可能更关注美联储会后声明及主席耶伦新闻发布会，希望从中获得美联储利率走向，以及措施退出策略的种种信息。
而早在3月份，美联储将2014年美国经济增长预期定为2.9%，失业率预期定为6.2%。然而，季节性因素致使一季度经济下滑，意味着今年余下几个季度的年化增长幅度必须达到4%，才能达到美联储经济增长预期的水平。此外，失业率已经在5月达到6.3%，这比美联储预期失业率下滑的节奏更快。因此市场有预期美联储将会提前加息步伐，若果真是如此，黄金将会受到不利影响。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，由于目前现货黄金行情价格正接近1285美元的技术阻力点位，而上方的1287是60日均线的强阻力区域，黄金在此处受阻的可能性较大，因此建议做空的投资者在此处布局适量的空单，而且黄金在连续多日上冲之后，基本未出现过技术性的回调，而短期内超买的迹象也较为明显，因此近期黄金若上攻受阻，不排除会出现回调。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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