对冲基金减持 现货黄金压力巨大
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周一晚间，国际现货黄金总体是走势较为平淡，虽然于晚间纽约盘前，黄金出现了一波跳水式下跌，回吐日内涨幅，此后在1250上方徘徊。短线来看，黄金在本周缺乏方向性指引，上行力度不足。
【基本面分析】
据美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）最新数据显示，截至6月3日当周，对冲基金和其他大型投机客大幅度减持纽约商品交易所（COMEX）黄金期货净多头仓位。数据显示，当周投机性净多头部位超过空头59,151手。上周净多头仓位较之前一周减少1.42万手或19%。
而据业内人士介绍，大户持仓量变化历来是追踪、研判期货价格变化的重要指标。对冲基金的持仓变动更是关注的重点。在国际期货市场上，对冲基金最擅长的手法就是“借势造势、共进共退”。而此次它们大幅度减持黄金多头仓位，很可能基于中期内黄金价格上涨无望这一判断。由于大型基金尤其是对冲基金入市前一般都有一个预期获利目标，按百分比计算获利目标至少在10%以上。因此对冲基金大举减持说明其对黄金看空情绪较为严重。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，虽然昨日伦敦金出现了微幅下跌，但是总体收阳，而随着黄金近期的触底反弹，技术指标和均线指标也出现了一定程度的修正，短期内趋势慢慢向多头倾斜。虽然黄金的短期底部已经基本明确，但是在市场观点皆不看好的情况下，黄金也难有大幅的上涨，因此建议炒金时逢高做空，而在下跌到接近支撑位的时候，则可以反手做多。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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