现货黄金走势还看中国实金需求
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周二亚洲时段，现货黄金和现货白银走势维持震荡上扬，但是总体上看，现货黄金交易较为清淡，由于本周美国方面的关键数据缺乏，市场在消息面缺乏指引方向，因此短期内市场将会再度把目光集中在中国和印度的实体黄金需求方面。
【基本面分析】
随着金价不断回调并探试新低，亚洲买家们进场则提供了急需的价格支持，帮助抵消了西方世界需求的急剧减少。更重要的是，去年亚洲实物黄金需求持续增长中，最大的需求增长来自中国。根据中国黄金协会今年早期发布的数据，中国去年的黄金购买量攀升了41%，预计可达到1176吨的新高，这从2013年每月从香港进口大约92吨黄金的净进口量也可以看出。去年黄金进口量使中国超过印度，成为世界上最大的黄金消费国。
显然，多年来经济的强劲增长带来了中国消费者收入和可支配财富的增加，为刺激黄金饰品和其他形式黄金的需求起到了重要作用。由于中国大陆投资机会有限，以及人们对中国人民银行货币政策的担忧，也是促使中国消费者购入黄金来作为保护财富的重要手段。所以，虽然近期中国和印度的黄金需求有轻微下降，但也可以说黄金近期也受到强大的实物需求支撑，才能使价格触底反弹。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，近日来国际现货黄金价格总体上维持震荡上行走势，由于连续的小幅收阳，各大技术指标均有所好转，MACD双线即将出现金叉，同时绿柱量能已经出现极度萎缩，证明空头力量不断衰竭，而KDJ三线在出现金叉之后开始向上发散，处于上涨初期，由于本周消息面缺乏，主导黄金走势的基本上是技术因素，因此我们大田贵金属预计本周黄金将出现震荡上行。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1251 止盈1257 止损1245
做空：开仓1258 止盈1250 止损1265
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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