6.10国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
关键字:6.10国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
【行情回顾】
6月9日欧洲时段,市场缺乏进一步的消息推动,国际现货黄金价格延续横盘整理格局,夜间纽盘时段开始后国际金价轻微录得上涨,日内最高价录得每盎司1257.37美元,由于南非铂金矿业未能解决长达5个月的罢工问题,带动黄金等贵金属产品上涨,而受美股上扬和美元指数走强打压,国际金价反弹力度受阻,6月9日部分欧洲国家如德国和法国市场休市,黄金市场成交量较平日清淡,国际金价日收1252.42美元/盎司,跌幅为0.05%。
【基本面分析】
欧央行6月利率决议推出进一步宽松,不但降低基准利率和实施负存款利率,而且推出新一轮针对性LTRO,宽松规模在某种程度上达到甚至超出普遍预期。欧元暂时来说仍维持在近期低点,汇价即没有强劲反弹的迹象也没有全面崩盘的风险。除欧洲投资者风险偏好明显升温外 (德国股市创历史新高) ,通胀预期也可能小幅升温并为贵金属提供支持,然而这种支持难以延续,只有在通货膨胀率出现实质性回升时,黄金白银等贵金属才会体现抗通胀属性。
据路透社报道,南非矿工与建筑业联盟和主要铂金生产商进行的薪资谈判于6月9日陷入僵局,且南非国家矿业部长放弃调停,导致这场令南非陷入经济衰退的罢工落幕事件破灭。维持了长达5个月之久的南非采铂工人罢工,导致占全球铂金产量约四成的南非矿产罢工,对南非经济产出造成负面影响,南非国家本年第一季度已陷入经济衰退。
【技术分析】
日线图上,国际金价收取阴线带上影的十字星,从过去一周的K线组合来看金价形成圆弧底形态,然而本日也可能收取大阴形成黄昏之星,5日均线和10日均线已形成金叉并逐步放量,布林带逐渐上移,附图指标MACD绿色动能柱继续减弱。从周线图上看金价依旧受上方的均线系统压制,继续处于弱势下行通道。从小时图上看,金价K线排列依旧以空头为主,附图指标MACD快慢线形成死叉并下穿0轴,短期内伦敦金行情仍然偏空。日内强支撑位1240、弱支撑位1245,上方关键阻力位1260。
【本日关键数据和事件】
中国5月居民消费价格指数
中国工业生产者出厂价格指数
美国5月NFIB小企业信心指数
美国5月就业趋势指数
美国6月7日当周ICSC
美国4月批发库存
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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