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现货黄金弱势整理 技术层面上趋向反弹

关键字:本日欧盘现货黄金走势

【基本面分析】

欧元区副行长称今年年底欧央行将了解最新政策措施是否有效,这暗示了欧元区在了解最新的刺激政策是否有效前,不太可能再次出台新的刺激措施,德国央行行长魏德曼发表了类似的看法,称反对欧央行现在就讨论是否采取更多措施。两者的言论对于欧元来讲是一种提振,导致上周五晚美国非农数据略好于预期,欧元走势持稳的其中原因。

本日基本面消息较少,欧美国家均没有重要的经济数据公布,根据近两个月公布的一系列经济数据可以看到,美国经济增长全面反弹,其中制造业增长普遍加速,消费支出维稳,就业市场总体得到改善,房屋数据表现不一,而通胀目标尚未达到,但美联储坚持每月缩减资产购买计划的措施已是大方向,年内有望结束量化宽松则符合了市场对美国经济前景的预期。

在本月17-18日美联储利率决议召开前,众多美联储官员将陆续发表讲话,市场可以从中找到一丝蛛丝马迹,本日夜间将迎来美国波士顿联储主席罗森格伦和圣路易斯联储主席布拉德发表讲话,若言行中涉及到结束QE及加息的话题,料会给目前处于盘整状态的伦敦金走势带来冲击。

【技术分析】

日线图上,国际金价日间开出短小带影线的阳线,金价站上5日均线上方,继上周五形成的十字星形态后,从现货黄金走势分析上看,本日有望形成十字星的效应,出现上涨行情,附图指标MACD绿色动能柱继续减弱,Stoch线向上发散,整体上说视乎金价能否成功上破初次阻力位1258-1260,上破后将进一步打开上行空间,下方弱势支撑位1250,若高位建空单可在1240-1245区域作为获利目标。

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