黄金需求缺口巨大 现货黄金再度上行
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘中，国际现货黄金在早盘震荡拉升后，最终站上了日内阻力位置1255一线，而黄金日内振幅不大，加上本周数据较少，在缺乏消息面的指导之下，技术形态开始出现持续修复的黄金，根据我们对金价走势预测，黄金有望在本周迎来一波上涨。
【基本面分析】
近日，有消息指出虽然中国黄金行业连续创造了三个“世界之最”：产量、消费量和进口量，但中国国内产销缺口仍高达748吨。而最新央行的数据显示，我国在2013年是全球黄金进口第一大国。而上海黄金交易所也已成为全球最大的场内实金交易市场。但数据显示，我国黄金产量远不能满足国内的黄金消费量。尽管去年我国黄金生产再创历史纪录，但产销缺口竟然高达748.237吨。
去年，我国黄金产量达到428.2吨，产量占全球的14.7％，连续7年成为全球最大的黄金生产国。同时，国内黄金消费量首次突破 1000吨，达到1176.40吨，同比增长41.3％，黄金消费量约占全球实物黄金消费的27％，成为全球最大黄金消费国。中国黄金协会数据显示，去年4月爆发抢金潮时，中国大妈们在当年二季度就消费了385.82吨黄金，上半年国内金条消费更是大幅增长了86.5％。虽然今年外界普遍认为，中国的黄金消费有所下降，但是中国黄金需求的缺口仍然巨大，贵金属交易需求旺盛，这或许是黄金反弹的又一契机。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，非农数据公布之后黄金仍能维持短线多头走势，由短期操作上看，黄金在修复MA5均线之后，再度修复MA10均线，说明黄金短期内走势较为积极，同时技术指标上，MACD虽然尚未出现金叉，但是绿柱量能已经持续萎缩，空头力量也出现持续衰竭，加上前期低位1240对黄金短期内构成的良好支撑，因此我们预计黄金在短期内将会有一波反弹，我们大田贵金属建议投资者可以适当逢低做多。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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