市场谨慎观望 现货黄金延续回调
关键字：本日现货黄金价格行情
【行情回顾】
本日欧盘时段前，国际现货黄金保持区间震荡格局，因投资者在夜间公布的欧央行利率决议前维持谨慎的行情观望态度，亚盘早间公布中国5月汇丰服务业采购经理人指数逊于预期，显示中国经济增长仍然存在不足，一定程度打压了亚洲的黄金消费需求，欧盘开市后，金价继续弱势整理，日内波幅暂时小于4美元，市场等待消息面带来的新指引。
【基本面分析】
MKS表示，黄金ETF持仓持续跌至年内新低，而现在随着伦敦金走势的大幅下跌，ETF持仓量开始录得轻微流入，周二，全球最大的黄金上市交易基金SPDR Gold Trust的持仓量上升1.8吨至787.08吨，但整体ETF持仓量的跌幅超过3吨。MKS指出：“黄金ETF总持仓量为5530万盎司，比2013 年第一季度的8500万盎司历史新高下跌了35%。图表上的看涨分歧走势，加上股市升幅过高，因此黄金有可能于未来数天上升。从风险回报角度来看，金价或能反弹至$1,250上方。”
世界黄金协会(WGC)在一个采访中称，每季度大约有50吨黄金流入印度黑市，也就是说每年有250吨黄金通过非法渠道流入。在去年为控制经常账户赤字(CAD)并且支撑卢比，印度政府和央行对黄金进口采取了一系列限制措施，包括将进口关税上调到10%。正是这些限制措施使得印度国内黄金走私猖獗，一度超过毒品走私。而印度新财长将于7月份出台预算案，提及下调黄金进口税计划，预计从现在的15%下调2%-4%，印度黄金需求将得以释放，届时将为国际金价带来新一轮支撑。
5月份欧元区Markit综合采购经理指数为53.5，略低于4月份的54。未经修正的欧盟第一季度国内生产总值较去年上升0.9%，而5月份欧元区生产价格指数比4月下跌0.1%，较去年同期下跌1.2%。这些数据增加市场对欧盟面临通缩危机的忧虑，市场进一步强化本日夜间欧央行实施负值存款利率和降息的预期，故黄金在欧央行利率决议公布前料维持盘整。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价自昨日开出上影线大于烛体的阴线，本日继续开出短小阴线，上方受强势阻力位1250压制，均线系统持空头排列，附图指标MACD快慢线继续位于0轴下方，绿色动能柱继续等量保持，RSI接近超卖区域，走势偏弱。4小时图上，金价上方受多重均线压制，布林线开口向下放大，若金价下穿1240或打开下行空间，大田贵金属建议投资者在消息面有明确指引时再顺势操作。
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.