黄金消费持续低迷 现货黄金价格下行
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘前，国际现货黄金价格依旧徘徊在1245一线位置，尚未有明显的上攻迹象，由于近期市场均有较为重要的消息出炉，所以多空双节均未有轻举妄动，因此现货黄金和现货白银在亚洲时段均位置震荡走势，而今晚的重头戏则在欧洲央行的利率决议。
【基本面分析】
2013年全年黄金价格一路跳水，全年下跌近28%，创下1981年来最大年度跌幅，国际黄金长达12年牛市宣告终结。从一季度中国金饰品消费数据看，消费增速同比快速下降。中国黄金协会此前发布的数据显示，2014年一季度，全国黄金消费量322.99吨，同比增加2.45吨或增长0.76%。但去年同期，一季度黄金消费量较前一年增加65.34吨，同比增长25.6%，说明黄金今年的需求增长远低于去年同期。另外，中国4月经香港的黄金净流入量只有67.040吨，低于3月的85.128吨，创去年2月来最低水平。5月美国之鹰金币销量为35500盎司，同比下降接近一半。
不过，业内人士也指出，在金价接近三年的下跌过程中，投机需求被挤压殆尽，目前进入黄金市场的资金以长线投资资金和实体消费资金为主，长线投资资金包括各国央行对黄金的净买入，实体消费资金表现在中国等市场对黄金首饰消费量的增大，由于缺少投机资金的炒作，目前的黄金价格大起大落的概率均不是很大，主要影响因素体现在实体消费方面，而实体消费的波动性远远低于期货等投机市场。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，国际现货黄金近期走势较为平稳，收出了连续两根十字星，预示着短期内黄金有开始企稳的迹象，而MACD的绿柱也开始缩短，KDJ三线开始向上走高，虽然仍处于超卖阶段，但由于近日有较为重要的数据出炉，市场正等待方向指引，建议炒金投资者暂时观望。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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