市场静待欧央行决议 黄金现货低位稳守
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
周四亚洲时段，黄金现货价格维持震荡整理态势，虽然昨日美国ADP就业数据低于预期，黄金出现了一波震荡走高，但是在缺乏实质性利好的支持下，随着美元指数的探底回升黄金也遇阻1250美元关口，黄金最终收盘也略有下跌。
【基本面分析】
虽然今晚美国方面有初请失业金这一重要数据出炉，但是今日市场集中的焦点却在欧洲方面。而今日最举世瞩目的当属，北京时间19:45欧洲央行将公布利率决定。市场普遍预计欧洲央行(ECB)行长德拉基会在6月政策会议上讨论将基准利率和存款利率下调10-15个基点。部分消息人士表示，即使在6月采取行动后，德拉基仍然准备保留降息的选项，并会重申欧洲央行的前瞻性指引，这就意味着有可能进一步下调利率。同时，欧洲央行可能会向银行业提供相当于它们贷款投资组合5%的资金，以缓和市场的信贷危机。相较于3月份1%的通胀预估，欧洲央行官员们将会显著降低对2014年通胀前景的预期。
另外欧元区5月通胀率意外放缓，加大该地区通缩风险，这巩固了对欧洲央行(ECB)本周将采取行动的预期。数据显示，欧元区5月消费物价指数(CPI)初值年率上升0.5%，市场此前预期升幅将维持在4月的0.7%。5月通胀率跌回3月所见的2009年11月以来低点。通胀率再度走低也增强了欧洲央行本周采取一系列刺激措施的预期。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，在黄金连续下跌之后，技术指标上已经有较为明显的超卖迹象，KDJ三线位于50分界线以下，而MACD绿柱也出现了小幅缩小的迹象。由于近期黄金开始有止跌迹象，若无重大利空出现，黄金日内将会以震荡整理为主，建议炒金的投资者日内关注1240一线的支撑力度。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1241 止盈1248 止损1234
做空：开仓1249 止盈1232 止损1255
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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