预期欧洲政策宽松 现货黄金站稳千三
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
再经历过昨晚上涨之后，周四亚盘时段，国际现货黄金价格走势较为平淡，早盘总体在1302-1305一线小幅震荡，由于市场普遍预期欧洲央行将会继美联储之后实行量化宽松政策，而且乌克兰事件也引发市场的避险情绪升温，因此伦敦金短期内走势将较为强势。
【基本面分析】
近期据消息人士透露，一贯并不十分支持货币宽松政策的德国央行立场出现改变，对欧央行6月加码货币刺激措施持开放态度。德国央行高层13日表示，正关注近期将公布的重要数据，如果2016年通胀预期下降，该行将对6月欧央行采取大力度刺激措施持开放态度。将支持在必要情况下把无限制银行贷款的时间延长至2016年。如果需要也将接受降息，包括欧央行实施负存款利率。在德国央行的支持下，欧央行6月加码货币刺激措施几率将骤然增大。
尽管欧央行在上周举行的5月货币政策例会上依然维持当前的货币政策不变，但该行6月进一步放水的预期已经大幅升温，欧股持续走强的动力更加充足。而德拉吉在最新例会后的记者会上明确表示，将密切关注汇率发展，考虑所有可行工具，并准备好考虑非常规措施。如有需要，该行可能会在6月采取进一步行动。若欧洲实行量化宽松政策，则全球市场有望迎来新一轮的货币宽松期，而以黄金为首大宗商品则有望受益。
【技术分析】
由现货黄金日K线图上看，黄金在昨日中阳突破1300关口之后，已经基本脱离了近期的三角形整理，出现较为明显的上攻迹象。同时，由均线系统上看，短期均线出现持续走强，开始呈现多头排列，虽然今日早盘黄金出现小幅下跌，但是在KDJ金叉之后，预计黄金将持续维持强势。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1301 止盈1314 止损1290
做空：开仓1317 止盈1305 止损1325
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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