关键消息利空 现货黄金持续回调
关键字：本日国际现货黄金走势
【基本面分析】
5月13日，美元兑一篮子货币表现良好，且日内公布的欧元区经济数据表现不佳，德国5月ZEW经济景气指数33.1，低於市场预期41，欧元区经济复苏依然不甚理想，欧元兑大幅下行，日内有消息称如果对抗通胀过低有需要，德国央行愿意支持欧央行下个月实施包括负利率和购买打包的银行贷款等刺激措施。目前欧元区通胀率为0.7%，远低於欧央行目标2%，这也为欧央行采取进一步刺激措施提供了理由，美元因此受到提振，从而打压黄金。
美国经济数据方面日内关注4月PPI数据，在目前阶段，较高的通胀报告，有可能提升美联储加息预期，从而可能打压黄金。
普京近期就即将举行的乌克兰大选表示，乌克兰总统选举是迈向正确的一步。他此前还呼吁乌克兰东南部公投延后举行，以便为“联邦制拥护者”与“基辅政权”对话创造必要条件。这无疑表明，俄罗斯不会强硬阻挠大选，月末的总统大选有望顺利进行，一旦新的政府出炉，那么乌克兰的局势或将逐步稳定，乌俄两国的地缘紧张局势将得以缓解，市场避险情绪大幅削弱，以黄金为首的避险品种将被抛售。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价正处于下降三角形破位的边缘，这意味着近期震荡格局将被打破，当前上方阻力位为1306美元，下方关键支撑位1290，结合基本面分析来，金价后市倾向下行的可能性偏大。从小时图上看，价格运行在布林中带1293处略有支持，均线系统粘合，尚未出现方向性选择，上方阻力1300-1305 ，下方支撑1287-1280、方向倾向震荡上行，日内建议纽盘开市前持有观望为主。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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